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Clinical Cancer Research

American Association for Cancer Research (AACR)

Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match Clinical Cancer Research's content profile, based on 58 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.07% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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Integrated T-Cell Receptor Repertoire and Tumor Immunogenicity Profiling Reveals Distinct Immunogenomic States in Endometrial Cancer

Aversa, I.; Abatino, A.; Isabello, A.; Gallo, R.; Isdraele, L.; Straface, T.; Zullo, F. M.; Guida, M.; Saccone, G.; Fiume, G.; Venturella, R.; Viglietto, G.; Cuda, G.; Costanzo, F.; Zullo, F.; Palmieri, C.

2026-06-10 oncology 10.64898/2026.06.08.26355191 medRxiv
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Background Endometrial cancer exhibits marked molecular and immune heterogeneity that is only partially explained by established genomic biomarkers. We investigated whether T cell receptor (TCR) repertoire architecture captures complementary dimensions of antitumor immunity beyond conventional molecular classification. Methods Paired tumor and peripheral blood samples from eight patients with molecularly characterized endometrial cancer underwent TCR repertoire profiling. Diversity, clonality, and tumor blood overlap metrics were integrated with genomic variables, including tumor mutational burden (TMB), genomic instability metric (GIM), and POLE status. Principal component analysis and correlation analyses were used to identify major dimensions of repertoire organization. Composite Immune Focusing and Immune Sharing Scores were derived to summarize dominant repertoire patterns. Results The first two principal components explained 70.1% of total repertoire variance and revealed substantial heterogeneity independent of histological subtype. TMB was strongly associated with reduced repertoire diversity and increased clonal dominance, resulting in a robust association with the Immune Focusing Score ({rho} = 0.88, p = 0.004). POLE mutated tumors occupied the extreme end of this focusing continuum. In contrast, genomic instability was associated with increased tumor blood repertoire overlap and preserved diversity, reflected by a strong correlation between GIM and the Immune Sharing Score ({rho} = 0.76, p = 0.027). The two immune scores showed minimal correlation with each other ({rho} = -0.24, p = 0.57), indicating that they capture largely independent aspects of immune organization. Conclusion Integrative analysis of TCR repertoire architecture and tumor genomics identifies distinct immunogenomic states in endometrial cancer that are not fully captured by conventional molecular classification. If validated in larger cohorts, immune focusing and immune sharing metrics may provide complementary biomarkers for patient stratification and immunotherapy-oriented precision oncology

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Prediction of immunotherapy response using live tumor fragments from routine clinical biopsies

Braun, D.; Dana, N.; Hernan, H. R.; Sahni, S.; Scribano, C.; Johnson, C.; Vedder, L.; von Euw, E.; Zweng, J.; Wargowski, E.; Sunil, A.; Sharma, D.; Routh, J.; Rexroad, K.; McDonnell, P.; Jergens, V.; Costa, C.; Zuniga, R.; Toia, G. V.; Patel, P. M.; Martin, R. C. G.; Majeed, U.; Mukhopadhyay, D.; Lou, Y.; Kokabi, N.; Jakub, J. W.; Hays, D.; Godwin, A. K.; Giffi, V.; Gelbard, A.; Friedl, A.; Duimstra, E. K.; Dronca, R. S.; Chen, R.; Chalfin, H.; Broome, B.; Babiker, H. M.; Chandra, T.; Caenepeel, S.; Hrycyniak, L. C. F.; Sood, C.; Ramos, H.; Patel, P.; Advani, P.; Gierman, H. J.; Taube, J.

2026-06-10 oncology 10.64898/2026.06.05.26354635 medRxiv
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Functional ex vivo assays using live tumor tissues have demonstrated strong predictive accuracy for response to immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) but are not scalable, requiring manual processing of large resections collected at academic centers. Here, an ex vivo live tumor fragment (LTF) platform was developed using standard-of-care biopsies from 228 patients with suspected malignancy collected across prospective, multicenter observational trials and biobanks. Hierarchical clustering of ICI-mediated changes in cytokine production identified two groups: responders and nonresponders. A binary classifier (elive index) using 8 cytokines achieved an AUC of 0.99 for cluster prediction. elive index correctly predicted clinical benefit in 93% (26/28) of patients (P = 3.2x10-5) and accurately identified 83% (10/12) of objective responders. Critically, elive responders were identified among biomarker-negative patients, highlighting the platform as a scalable approach that complements existing companion diagnostics and expands the population of patients identified to benefit from ICI therapy.

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Modeling cycle phases using hormone trajectories in women with and without polyendocrine metabolic ovarian syndrome

Stujenske, T. M.; Bouchard, T. P.; Troy, A.; Kelemen, S.; Folino, B.; Wills, T.; Sugden, L. A.

2026-06-04 obstetrics and gynecology 10.64898/2026.06.02.26354701 medRxiv
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The recent availability of at-home menstrual cycle tracking technology has created opportunities for personalized assessment of reproductive health, alongside improved characterization of hormone patterns in women with and without reproductive disorders such as polyendocrine metabolic ovarian syndrome (PMOS), which affects approximately 10% of reproductive-age women. In this study, we leverage self-tracked urinary hormone data to develop an autoregressive Hidden Markov model (arHMM) that maps cycle days to physiologically meaningful phases based on hormone trajectories. By modeling day-to-day hormonal dynamics rather than absolute hormone levels, and allowing variable phase durations, this approach accommodates substantial variability in menstrual cycles, thereby enabling meaningful comparisons within and between individuals. Across more than 3800 cycles from over 1100 individuals, we find that arHMM-derived phases reproduce expected hormonal patterns within follicular, periovulatory, and luteal phases, and that phase-based timing for hormone testing outperforms conventional cycle day-based testing in capturing the luteinizing hormone surge and post-ovulatory progesterone rise, highlighting limitations of fixed-day clinical protocols. We identify phase-specific differences between healthy controls and individuals with self-reported PMOS, including lower luteinizing hormone in the periovulatory phase, and reduced luteal-phase progesterone levels in PMOS. Furthermore, features derived from arHMM phase assignments enable classification of PMOS status with ~78% accuracy, demonstrating the potential of this approach for non-invasive PMOS screening.

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Formalising Limits of Circulating Tumour DNA Detection: A Signal Detection Framework for Clinical Threshold Specification

Walinjkar, A.

2026-06-10 oncology 10.64898/2026.06.08.26355204 medRxiv
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Background: Circulating tumour DNA (ctDNA) liquid biopsy is now established across oncology for early cancer detection, minimal residual disease surveillance, and treatment monitoring. Detection thresholds for all current ctDNA assays are derived empirically through receiver operating characteristic analysis on training cohorts - a statistically valid but theoretically uninformed approach that does not specify the minimum detectable tumour fraction given assay technical characteristics, nor identify when increasing sequencing depth ceases to provide additional clinical information. Methods: We model ctDNA detection as a binary hypothesis testing problem with Binomial-distributed mutant allele counts against a sequencing error noise floor. The Neyman-Pearson lemma is applied to derive the uniformly most powerful detector and the minimum detectable tumour fraction in closed form. The sequencing assay is modelled as a binary symmetric channel and Shannon channel capacity is calculated. Empirical validation uses n=61 data points extracted from five published peer-reviewed analytical validation studies across five independent institutions in the US and EU (2018 - 2025): Yu et al. 2022, Stetson et al. 2018, Frydendahl et al. 2023, Northcott et al. 2024, and Cheng et al. 2025. Results: The minimum detectable tumour fraction is derived in closed form as f_min approximately equal to (z_alpha + z_beta) multiplied by the square root of (epsilon divided by N), where N is sequencing depth, epsilon is the platform error rate, and z_alpha, z_beta are standard normal quantiles at the specified false positive and false negative rates. Shannon channel capacity is C = 1 minus H(epsilon) bits per read, where H(epsilon) is binary entropy. Empirical validation yields 84.3% agreement for single-locus assays. Discordance for multi-locus tumour-informed assays (NeXT Personal, duplex WGS) is consistent with the single-locus model scope and identifies the principal theoretical extension required. Conclusions: This framework provides the first formal Neyman-Pearson optimality proof for ctDNA detection, a closed-form detection limit, and a platform-independent efficiency metric for NHS and regulatory standardisation. Keywords: circulating tumour DNA; liquid biopsy; Neyman-Pearson detection; Shannon channel capacity; sequencing depth; limit of detection; minimal residual disease; signal detection theory

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Cytoplasmic staining of T cell receptor components enables efficient assessment of lineage and clonality in surface CD3-negative T cell neoplasms

Wilk, A. J.; Gitana, G.; Oak, J.

2026-06-04 pathology 10.64898/2026.06.02.26354783 medRxiv
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Flow cytometry can establish T cell clonality by detecting a restricted expression pattern of the T cell receptor (TCR) {beta} constant region (TRBC), expressed in association with CD3. However, T cell neoplasms frequently lose surface expression of the CD3/TCR complex, posing a challenge to demonstrating T cell lineage and clonality. To address this challenge, here we present a 12-color flow cytometry panel, called cytoTCR, to characterize cytoplasmic expression of CD3/TCR complex components. We apply cytoTCR to 38 patient specimens with immunophenotypically abnormal T cell populations, demonstrating this approach can efficiently establish T cell lineage and clonality in challenging T cell neoplasms that have lost surface CD3 expression. While we show that natural killer (NK)-lineage neoplasms can express cytoplasmic CD3 at similar levels to T cells, we show that absent expression of cytoplasmic TCR components by mature lymphocytes can help confirm NK cell lineage. We demonstrate that cytoTCR can detect cytoplasmic TRBC-restriction in challenging cases of null-phenotype anaplastic large cell lymphoma, which lack surface expression of pan-T cell antigens. In cases of T-lymphoblastic leukemia, cytoTCR shows that cytoplasmic TRBC expression matches the expected developmental stage of the leukemia. Finally, we use cytoTCR to characterize atypical cCD3-CD7- T cells in a patient with a history of T-lymphoblastic leukemia as well as recent CAR-T therapy, showing that this atypical population is polytypic and represents CAR-T product rather than residual disease. Our study presents a broadly applicable flow cytometric approach to simultaneously assess T cell lineage and clonality in suspected T lineage populations with absent surface CD3 expression.

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A liquid biopsy-centered, pan-cancer, open next generation sequencing panel to support clinical decision-making (LION panel)

Feierabend, S.; Künstner, A.; Forster, M.; Helbing, T.; Gebauer, N.; Gemoll, T.; Axt, F.; Nimmagadda, S. C.; Ranganathan, L.; Schwandt, J.; Heber, M.; Szymczak, S.; Hohensee, I.; Fliedner, S. M. J.; Scherer, F.; Oberländer, M.; Derer-Petersen, S.; Busch, H.; von Bubnoff, N.; Dazert, E.

2026-06-08 oncology 10.64898/2026.06.05.26354976 medRxiv
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Cancer treatment has shifted toward personalized therapy based on molecular profiling, particularly in advanced disease. Existing circulating tumor DNA panels are often broad, generating many non-actionable variants and incurring costs that limit routine use in molecular tumor boards. We developed and validated a manufacturer-independent, 109-gene liquid biopsy-centered pan-cancer open next generation sequencing panel (LION panel), combined with an in-house bioinformatic pipeline to support clinical decision-making. A total of 87 samples were analyzed, including 17 reference samples, 21 healthy blood donor controls, and 49 patient samples including nine tumor entities. The LION panel achieved 92% sensitivity and 99% specificity in reference samples, with high concordance to digital droplet PCR (r = 0.99). It detected variant allele frequencies as low as 0.05% (tumor-informed) and 0.5% (tumor-uninformed). Clinical concordance reached 82% with blood-based digital droplet PCR and 75% with whole exome tissue sequencing. In representative cases, variant dynamics correlated with disease progression and revealed additional targetable variants. Overall, the LION panel supports clinical decision-making by enabling identification of targetable variants, disease monitoring, and detection of treatment resistance, particularly when tumor tissue is unavailable.

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Dementia and Frailty Impact Postoperative Care Trajectories and Burden among Older Adults Undergoing Radical Cystectomy for Bladder Cancer

Ernandez, J.; Xiang, L.; Adler, R.; Hsu, J.; Shah, S. K.; Kim, D.; Gershman, B.; Mossanen, M.; Weissman, J. S.

2026-06-06 urology 10.64898/2026.06.04.26354768 medRxiv
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OBJECTIVE: Bladder cancer (BC) is predominantly a disease of older, comorbid adults, and radical cystectomy (RC), which is the gold standard treatment, carries considerable morbidity. We sought to determine the impact of baseline dementia and frailty on the care trajectory beyond the immediate postoperative period. We hypothesized that frail patients and those with dementia undergoing RC for BC will have poorer care trajectories. METHODS AND MATERIALS: We identified Medicare beneficiaries [≥] 66 years old who underwent RC for BC in 2017 with 12 months of pre- and post-RC enrollment. Frailty and dementia were characterized using validated, claims-based measures. Associations between baseline frailty and dementia with postoperative care trajectory outcomes were determined using Fine-Gray competing risk models. RESULTS: We identified 3,600 beneficiaries of whom 11.6% were frail and 3.4% met criteria for dementia. Patients with dementia were more likely to be frail, comorbid, and not receive standard-of-care neoadjuvant chemotherapy. Frailty was independently associated with [≥] 2 transitions in care level after index discharge from RC and skilled nursing facility (SNF) admissions within 1 year of RC, exposure to intensive post-RC interventions, including dialysis and feeding tube placement, and poorer survival. Dementia remained associated with SNF admissions regardless of frailty level. CONCLUSIONS: Among a contemporary cohort of older adults undergoing RC for BC, preoperative dementia and frailty were independently associated with poorer care trajectory beyond the immediate postoperative period after RC. Our work highlights a role for preoperative geriatric assessment in identifying and optimizing patients at greatest risk.

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Quantifying Cancer Clinical Trial Eligibility Using Artificial Intelligence-Based Matching

Goel, K. P.; Myall, N. J.; Dickerson, J.; Caswell-Jin, J. L.; Johnson, T.; Worth, J. E.; Gensheimer, M. F.

2026-06-05 oncology 10.64898/2026.06.03.26354859 medRxiv
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PURPOSE: To develop and validate an artificial intelligence-enabled platform that converts unstructured cancer trial eligibility criteria into structured queries and quantifies trial eligibility across advanced/metastatic cancer trials. METHODS: We downloaded actively recruiting US interventional treatment trials for advanced/metastatic breast cancer, colon cancer, and non-small cell lung cancer from ClinicalTrials.gov. Medical oncologists created 24 synthetic patient vignettes. A large language model converted trial eligibility criteria into Structured Query Language (SQL) code and patient information into structured records, enabling automated matching. Cancer details and treatment history were considered, but not laboratory results or comorbidities. Validation included physician editing of generated eligibility code for 30 trials, and blinded physician eligibility assessment for five trials. We then evaluated how age, ECOG performance status, sex, and ZIP code affected the number of eligible trials. RESULTS: Of 833 candidate trials, 746 met inclusion criteria. In physician review of 30 trials, edits to generated SQL did not change any of 720 trial-patient eligibility determinations for 24 synthetic patients. In blinded validation across 120 trial-patient pairs, automated matching achieved 97% accuracy. Across synthetic patients, eligible trials ranged from 31 to 258 when there were no geographic restrictions. Eligibility decreased markedly with worse performance status and with geographic restriction (both p<0.001). Later-phase, randomized, and molecularly selective trials had fewer eligible patients. CONCLUSION: AI-based structuring of trial eligibility criteria can support accurate, scalable measurement of potential cancer trial eligibility. In this demonstration, performance status, geography, and age were major determinants of eligibility across the active metastatic trial landscape.

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Impact of Early Treatment on Symptom Improvement and Procedural Events among Men with BPH and Bothersome Lower Urinary Tract Symptoms: A Contemporary Analysis of the American Urological Association Quality (AQUA) Registry

Ernandez, J.; Najafi, A.; Roehrborn, C. G.; Lerner, L. B.

2026-06-10 urology 10.64898/2026.06.08.26355194 medRxiv
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PURPOSE: As the armamentarium of BPH therapies continues to expand, it remains imperative to maximize patient satisfaction and minimize decisional regret. We sought to determine the impact of time from BPH diagnosis to index treatment on symptom improvement and subsequent procedural events. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We queried the American Urological Association Quality Registry for men [&ge;] 40 years old with BPH, available IPSS data, and no receipt of prior BPH treatment. Index treatment included medication, surgery, or minimally invasive surgical therapy (MIST). Outcomes included IPSS over 3 years of follow-up, change in percentage of mild lower urinary tract symptoms (LUTS) by 3 months, and time to procedural event. Patients were stratified by time from index diagnosis to treatment by <12 months, 1-3 years, and >3 years. Outcomes were compared across time-to-treatment cohorts with appropriate statistical tests with p < 0.05 as significant. RESULTS: 43,919 patients met criteria with 19,642 pursuing treatments. Patients pursued treatment at comparably lower baseline IPSS compared to prior prospective series. Patients undergoing surgery and MIST had significantly higher baseline IPSS, while medical comorbidities were significantly more common among men initiating pharmacotherapy. Early surgery and MIST were associated with significant improvement in IPSS within 6-12 months and an increase in mild LUTS by 3 months. All forms of early treatment were associated with delayed time to procedural events, including catheterization and fulguration. CONCLUSIONS: Early procedural intervention for BPH is associated with early symptom improvement and delayed time to procedural events among real-world, contemporary practice.

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Safety and Tolerability of Low Intensity Focused Ultrasound to the Anterior Insula in Patients with Fibromyalgia

Kapoor, A.; Ni, Y.; Isaac, G.; Keyes, D. C. V.; Russo-Stringer, E. A.; Legon, W.

2026-06-09 pain medicine 10.64898/2026.06.01.26354382 medRxiv
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Background: Low-intensity focused ultrasound (LIFU) is an emerging noninvasive neuromodulation technique capable of targeting deep cortical and subcortical structures with high spatial precision. In healthy human volunteers, LIFU has demonstrated a favorable safety and tolerability profile across multiple studies. However, its safety and tolerability in clinical populations remains poorly characterized, representing a critical barrier to clinical translation. Here, we prospectively evaluate the safety and tolerability of LIFU targeting the left dorsal anterior insula (dAI) in patients with fibromyalgia (FM). Methods: In a single-blind, sham-controlled, within-subjects crossover design, 13 individuals with FM (43.1 +/- 13.2 years; 12 female) received 10 minutes of active LIFU (500 kHz, 1 kHz PRF, 36% duty cycle, 4.2 W/cm2 Isppa; 100 x 1-second pulse trains with a 5-second inter-train interval) targeting the left dorsal anterior insula (dAI) or sham on separate visits. Safety was evaluated through neuroradiological review of post vs. pre LIFU FLAIR MRI, quantitative voxel-wise FLAIR analysis, and patient report of symptoms (ROS). Tolerability was assessed using an experience assessment. Efficacy of the LIFU intervention was assessed using quantitative sensory testing (QST) including temporal summation of pain (TSP) and conditioned pain modulation (CPM). Results: Neuroradiological review identified no new evidence of edema, microhemorrhage, acute ischemia, or white matter injury on post-LIFU structural imaging. Quantitative FLAIR analysis using contralateral-mirror-referenced relative FLAIR (rFLAIR) showed no significant within-subject change in the stimulated beam volume (delta rFLAIR = 0.002 +/- 0.025, t(12) = 0.30, P = 0.769, Cohen's dz = 0.08). No serious adverse events were documented and ROS indicated no change due to LIFU sonication. Participants rated the procedure as comfortable and could not distinguish active from sham LIFU. LIFU did not result in statistically significant changes for TSP (p = 0.797) or CPM (p = 0.465). Conclusions: Ten minutes of LIFU targeting the left dAI was safe and well tolerated in individuals with FM, with no neuroradiological or quantitative MRI evidence of tissue effects and no serious adverse events. Blinding was preserved, and participants rated the procedure as comfortable. Although no significant changes were observed in experimental pain measures, these findings support the feasibility of targeting deep salience and pain amplification circuitry with LIFU in patients with FM and provide a foundation for adequately powered efficacy trials.

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Precision Imaging to Evaluate Kaposi Sarcoma (PRIME-KS): protocol for a multicountry novel artificial intelligence-based imaging device

Odeny, T. A.; Adhiambo, H. F.; Mangale, D.; Makanga, P. K.; Odeny, B.; Okuku, F.; Zhou, C.; Geng, E.; Carson, J.; Mudhune, V.; Bukusi, E.; Semeere, A.

2026-06-04 oncology 10.64898/2026.06.03.26354815 medRxiv
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Abstract Background: Kaposi sarcoma (KS) is the most common cancer among men in several Eastern African countries, yet treatment monitoring relies on imprecise, time-consuming ruler-based measurements defined by the AIDS Clinical Trial Group (ACTG). This method suffers from inter-observer variability, fails to capture lesion height or true geometric area, and performs poorly on dark skin. SkinScan3D (SS3D) is a portable, low-cost, AI-enabled 3D imaging device that provides objective measurements of KS skin lesion area, height, volume, and color. The Precision Imaging to Evaluate Kaposi Sarcoma (PRIME-KS) study evaluates whether SS3D provides more reproducible and accurate lesion measurements than the standard method, and validates its integration into routine clinical workflows in Kenya and Uganda. Methods: PRIME-KS is a multicountry prospective mixed-methods study with two clinical objectives. Objective 1 is a cross-sectional diagnostic accuracy study comparing SS3D with ruler-based measurement in 50 adults with KS (150 lesions) across sites in Kenya and Uganda. Two clinicians independently measure three lesions per participant using both methods. The primary outcomes are concordance correlation coefficient (CCC) for inter-rater reproducibility, and co-efficient of determination for accuracy. Objective 2 is a non-randomized before-and-after pilot study in 100 patients at three sites, evaluating device usability, acceptability, appropriateness, and feasibility using validated instruments, along with time-and-motion studies and activity-based micro-costing. Prior to these clinical objectives, a formative study used focus group discussions, discrete choice experiments, and human-centered design workshops to refine the SS3D device and protocols with end-user input. Discussion: PRIME-KS will provide the first rigorous evaluation of a 3D imaging device for monitoring KS treatment response in routine clinical settings. If SS3D demonstrates superior reproducibility and clinical utility, it could reduce unnecessary chemotherapy exposure and associated toxicities by enabling earlier, more objective assessment of treatment response. Trial registration: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT06898203, registered 27 March 2025. Pan African Clinical Trials Registry PACTR202603523439856. Keywords Kaposi sarcoma, SkinScan3D, 3D imaging, treatment monitoring, diagnostic accuracy, implementation science, usability, human-centered design, Kenya, Uganda

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Low-Dose Aspirin Adherence Following Objective cell-free RNA-Based Preeclampsia Risk Testing: A Real-World Survey Study

Moe, A. B.; Haverty, C.; Lee, M.; Hahn, S. E.; McElrath, T. F.; Jain, M.; Rasmussen, M.; Corso, A.; Larson, M. L.; Morrison, H.; Melroy, L. M.; Roofeh, J.; Phelps-Sandall, B.; Kiefer, D.; Biggio, J. R.

2026-06-10 obstetrics and gynecology 10.64898/2026.06.08.26355195 medRxiv
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Introduction: Preeclampsia (PE) is a leading cause of maternal and neonatal morbidity and mortality, and low-dose aspirin (LDA) prophylaxis is the cornerstone of evidence-based prevention. Despite guideline recommendations, LDA adherence remains poor, with 10-25% of moderate-risk patients taking aspirin. Objective personalized risk stratification using biomarkers has been shown to motivate behavior change in other disease contexts. Survey data suggest that patients are more motivated to take aspirin if informed by an objective predictive test. Here, we report real-world LDA adherence among patients who received a high-risk result from a cell-free RNA (cfRNA) PE risk prediction test. Methods: This retrospective, observational survey study included asymptomatic patients of advanced maternal age (AMA; [&ge;] 35 years at delivery) with singleton pregnancies without USPSTF-defined preexisting high-risk conditions for PE who received the cfRNA PE risk prediction test. Patients who opted in to receive text message surveys were asked about LDA use following receipt of test results. High adherence was defined as reporting LDA use on at least 6 of 7 days per week at least 85% of the time surveyed. The primary analysis included patients with a high-risk test result and at least one LDA frequency survey response following receipt of test result. The observed proportion of adherent patients was compared to a baseline estimate of 25% using an exact binomial test. Results: Of 166 patients who received a cfRNA PE risk prediction test result, 48 (28.9%) received a high-risk result. Of these, 29 (60%) opted in and responded to at least one survey, constituting the primary analysis population. Twenty-seven of the 29 (93.1%; 95% CI: 78.0-98.1%) were classified as highly adherent, significantly higher than the 25% baseline adherence estimate for moderate-risk patients (p < 0.0001). Conclusion: Among surveyed patients who received a high-risk cfRNA PE test result, the proportion classified as highly adherent to LDA (93%) substantially exceeded published estimates of adherence in a similar patient population and met the clinically meaningful threshold of [&ge;] 80% associated with reduced risk of preterm preeclampsia. These findings indicate that objective and personalized biomarker risk testing may be a powerful driver of behavior change that current guidelines have failed to produce.

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Large Language Models in Healthcare Simulation Education: A Bibliometric Analysis with AI-Assisted Screening

Pears, M.; Wadhwa, K.; Payne, S. R.; Konstantinidis, S. T. H.; Biyani, C. S.

2026-06-04 urology 10.64898/2026.06.02.26354722 medRxiv
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Large language models (LLMs) such as ChatGPT are rapidly reshaping healthcare education and simulation-based training in non-technical skills (NTS), yet no bibliometric analysis has mapped this landscape. We searched seven open-access databases (OpenAlex, PubMed, Europe PMC, Crossref, Semantic Scholar, CORE, DOAJ) for English-language publications from January 2020 to March 2026. From 100,277 initial records, a sequential keyword funnel yielded 830 candidate papers, which were screened by 83 independent Claude Sonnet 4.6 AI agents applying pre-specified inclusion criteria (PRISMA-trAIce compliant; Cohen's kappa = 0.86 pre-reconciliation, 1.0 post-reconciliation). The final AI-verified corpus comprised 551 papers with a compound annual growth rate of 109%, contributions from 2,398 authors across 279 journals in 58 countries, and an h-index of 41. ChatGPT dominated the model landscape (46% of papers), with open-source models virtually absent. Virtual patient chatbots were the leading simulation modality (106 papers). Among NTS domains, communication (145 papers) and decision-making (135 papers) were most studied, whereas teamwork, leadership, situational awareness, and crisis resource management were markedly underrepresented. Only 6 urology-relevant papers were identified, none examining LLM integration within boot camp training formats. The field is growing at extraordinary pace but remains concentrated in a narrow range of NTS domains and a single proprietary model. Critical gaps persist in team-based skills training, open-source model evaluation, and specialty-specific simulation. AI-assisted bibliometric screening using multiple independent agents is feasible, reliable, and scalable, offering a replicable methodology for mapping fast-evolving research fields.

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Positioning Early Phase CNS Trials for Regulatory and Investor Success: Strategic Implications of the Single Phase 3 Approval Paradigm

Schmidt, P.; Preskorn, S.

2026-06-08 neurology 10.64898/2026.06.05.26353604 medRxiv
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In February 2026, the FDA announced that a single pivotal phase 3 (P3) trial would become the new default standard for drug approval - a regulatory direction that had been legally enabled since the FDA Modernization Act of 1997. This announcement has strategic, scientific, and economic implications for drug developers, contract research organizations (CROs), and biotech investors. We argue that the expansion of this framework, originally reserved for various niche submissions, represents a paradigm change, dramatically increasing the value of rigorous early phase (P1 and P2) trial design, requiring sponsors to establish both statistical efficacy signals and mechanistic biological understanding before entering phase 3. Using a CNS indication cost model, we show that single P3 approval can reduce total development expenditure from approximately $447 million over 14 years to $297 million over 12 years - a savings of $150 million and providing two years of additional commercial runway for a modeled CNS drug. Case examples including lecanemab, omaveloxolone, and tofersen illustrate how biomarker-informed early phase strategies can establish the confirmatory evidence necessary for single-trial approval. We provide practical guidance for maximizing the value of P1 and P2 under this evolving framework.

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Closing the Paediatric Gap: Adult-Trained AI Generalises Robustly to Paediatric Coeliac Disease Diagnosis

Jaeckle, F.; Gillett, P. M.; Kirkwood, K. J.; Natu, S.; Chan, J. Y. H.; Bateman, A. C.; Arends, M. J.; Soilleux, E. J.

2026-06-05 pathology 10.64898/2026.06.04.26354889 medRxiv
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Background Coeliac disease (CD) diagnosis on duodenal biopsies is limited by interobserver variability. We have previously demonstrated pathologist-level performance with our artificial intelligence (AI) model for the histopathological diagnosis of adult CD, but not in paediatric practice. As paediatric CD screening programmes expand internationally, accurate and scalable diagnostic tools are needed. We investigated whether an AI model trained exclusively on adult whole-slide images (WSIs) can generalise to paediatric CD diagnosis across independent centres. Methods A training and validation dataset of 9,958 WSIs from 8,421 adult patients (961 CD) from five centres was used to develop an ensemble of multiple-instance learning models using features from a foundation model. Testing was performed on 708 consecutive paediatric patients (86 CD) from two centres (Edinburgh and Southampton) not included in training. Model calibration was assessed, and probability outputs were grouped into clinically interpretable categories. Findings In adult cross-validation, the AI model achieved an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 98.7%, sensitivity of 84.9%, specificity of 99.0%, and negative predictive value (NPV) of 98.1%. On testing (paediatric) datasets, performance remained high (AUC 98.8%, sensitivity 80.2%, specificity 98.4%, NPV 97.3%). Restricting analysis to predictions outside the intermediate-probability range (predicted CD probability <10% or [&ge;]65%; 85.3% of cases) improved sensitivity to 100% and specificity to 98.7%. No misclassifications were observed among high-confidence predictions (<2% or [&ge;]85%; 66.0% of cases). The expected calibration error was 0.03. Performance improved significantly when biopsies from both duodenal sites (bulb [D1] and descending [D2/3]) were considered. Interpretation Our AI model, trained on adult biopsies, generalises to paediatric CD diagnosis across centres and scanner platforms. Well-calibrated probability outputs provide clinically interpretable measures of diagnostic confidence and could support safe identification of CD-negative biopsies within defined thresholds. These findings demonstrate the feasibility of applying adult-derived AI models in paediatric populations and reinforce the importance of multi-site (D1 & D2) biopsy sampling.

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Immune Biomarker Signatures as Predictors of Functional and Pain Recovery After Total Knee Arthroplasty in Older Adults

Kraus, V. B.; Greenberg, N. D.; Ashner, M.; Huebner, J. L.; Bareja, A.; Peskoe, S.; Simon, C.; Whitson, H. E.; Colon-Emeric, C. S.

2026-06-10 geriatric medicine 10.64898/2026.06.08.26355189 medRxiv
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Postoperative resilience varies widely among older adults, yet the biological drivers of recovery remain unclear. We evaluated whether preoperative immune profiles, measured in plasma and through ex vivo whole blood stimulation, predict resilience to the acute stress of total knee arthroplasty. A total of 152 adults (greater or equal to 60 years) in the PRIME KNEE cohort underwent elective total knee arthroplasty and had available blood samples for measurement of 45 immune biomarkers, quantified in plasma and in whole blood stimulated ex vivo for 24 hours with lipopolysaccharide (LPS) or influenza antigen (FLU). Resilience was assessed using Expected Recovery Differential (ERD) and Resilience Trajectory (RT) across pain severity, pain interference, lower extremity physical activities of daily living (LE PADLs), and step counts. An exploratory stability selection framework using LASSO identified biomarker predictors of postoperative outcomes. Plasma and stimulated biomarkers showed broadly similar predictive performance. A shared set of biomarkers, including LBP, leptin, TNFR1, CD30, and LIF, was consistently selected across models. Immune predictors explained ~12-24% of the variance in resilience outcomes. Distinct immune signatures emerged for pain versus functional recovery: pain related predictors mapped to local inflammatory and neuroimmune pathways, whereas function related predictors reflected systemic inflammatory load and cytokine signaling. Preoperative immune biomarkers, whether measured in plasma or after ex vivo stimulation, capture meaningful variance in postoperative resilience. The divergence between pain related and function related immune signatures highlights biologically distinct pathways underlying different dimensions of recovery and supports further development of immune based perioperative risk assessment.

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Documented clinical genetic testing among carriers of hereditary breast and ovarian cancer variants: Ancestry and socioeconomic disparities in the All of Us research program

Yerukala Sathipati, S.; Scott, H.

2026-06-10 oncology 10.64898/2026.06.09.26355262 medRxiv
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Importance: Hereditary breast and ovarian cancer (HBOC) variant carriers benefit from risk-reducing interventions, but only if identified. The extent to which carriers are clinically recognized, and whether recognition is equitable across diverse populations, is poorly characterized in a single large U.S. cohort. Objective: To estimate P/LP HBOC carrier prevalence across genetic ancestry groups, quantify documented clinical genetic testing among carriers, and evaluate ancestry and socioeconomic disparities in testing. Design, Setting, and Participants: Cross-sectional analysis of the All of Us Research Program Controlled Tier (Curated Data Repository v8/C2024Q3R9), comprising participants with short-read whole genome sequencing and linked electronic health record (EHR) and survey data. Carriers were ascertained from research genomic data independent of clinical testing. Exposures: Genetically inferred ancestry (African [AFR], Admixed American [AMR], East Asian [EAS], European [EUR], Middle Eastern [MID], South Asian [SAS]); self-reported household income and educational attainment. Main Outcomes and Measures: (1) Carrier prevalence with Wilson 95% CIs; (2) documented clinical genetic testing (procedure codes) among carriers; (3) adjusted odds of documented testing among women, by ancestry, before and after socioeconomic adjustment, using multivariable logistic regression. Results: Among 414,830 participants, P/LP HBOC carrier prevalence was 1.42% (95% CI, 1.38-1.45) overall and similar across ancestry groups (AFR 1.24%, AMR 1.32%, EAS 1.19%, EUR 1.52%, MID 1.68%, SAS 1.33%; overlapping CIs). Among 250,071 women in the testing analysis, documented clinical genetic testing was rare: only 74 of 5,878 carriers overall (1.3%) and 59 of 3,572 European-ancestry carriers (1.7%) had a documented test, with counts below reportable thresholds in all other ancestry groups. African-ancestry women had lower adjusted odds of documented testing than European-ancestry women (Model 1 adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 0.32; 95% CI, 0.27-0.39), an association that attenuated but persisted after adjustment for income and education (Model 2 aOR, 0.48; 95% CI, 0.40-0.58; P < 0.001); Admixed American women also had reduced adjusted odds (aOR, 0.71; 95% CI, 0.61-0.84). Lower income and lower education were independently and dose-dependently associated with lower testing odds (income <$25,000 aOR, 0.46; high-school education aOR, 0.54). Conclusions and Relevance: High-risk HBOC variant carriers are present across all ancestry groups at similar frequencies, yet documented clinical genetic testing was disparate in the different ancestry groups. African-ancestry women experience a testing gap that is not fully explained by socioeconomic position, implicating structural barriers in access and referral. Population-level strategies that decouple carrier identification from current referral pathways may be required to close this gap.

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Understanding Human AI Discrepancy in Breast Cancer TIL Assessment: A Multi-Rater and Perceptual Bias Study

Capar, A.; Aloglu, I.; Aker, F.; Ertano, M.; Mese, Y. E.; Ungor, A.; Yildiz, B. E.

2026-06-04 pathology 10.64898/2026.05.29.26354196 medRxiv
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Objective: Tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (TILs) in breast cancer are one of the most important indicators of the immune response within the tumor microenvironment. They play a particularly significant prognostic and predictive role in triple-negative and HER2-positive subtypes. However, substantial inter-observer variability has been reported in TIL scoring among pathologists, which limits its reliability in clinical practice. The aim of this study was to evaluate the agreement between artificial intelligence (AI) models and pathologists in TIL scoring and to compare this agreement using different statistical approaches, thereby assessing the potential of AI integration into pathology practice. Materials and Methods: Digitized histopathological images of breast cancer cases were included in the study. Tumor regions annotated by pathologists were evaluated for both stromal TIL percentage and the proportion of stromal tumor area within each ROI, with assessments performed independently by three pathologists and two AI models. Agreement was assessed among pathologists, between pathologists and AI, and between AI models. Statistical analyses included intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC), Cohen and Fleiss kappa, correlation tests, and Bland-Altman analysis. In addition, categorical agreement was examined using different cut-off values. Results: Inter-pathologist agreement was high, with an ICC of 0.81. In contrast, the global agreement between pathologists and AI models was lower (ICC 0.41). Pairwise comparisons of pathologist-AI agreement yielded substantially lower ICC values (0.12-0.21), although this improved to 0.53 when three pathologists were assessed jointly with a single AI model. The strongest categorical agreement was observed with dichotomized TIL scores ([&le;]10% vs. >10%), whereas multi-category classifications were associated with a marked reduction in kappa values. Spearman correlation coefficients between pathologists and AI models ranged from moderate to good ({rho} = 0.48-0.81). Agreement between the two AI models themselves was moderate, with an ICC of 0.64

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CarotidMamba: Foundation Model-Enabled CTA Phenotyping of Symptomatic Carotid Plaques in a Multi-Center Retrospective Study

Liu, Y.-S.; Dou, X.-W.; Zheng, P.-Y.; Feng, W.; Ma, L.-J.; You, Y.-N.; Shao, G.-W.; Shen, J.-G.; Yu, X.; Qiao, C.; Cheng, Z.-W.; Li, Z.-W.; Su, F.; Zhang, B.-W.; Qu, X.-H.; Jiang, g.

2026-06-05 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.06.02.26354776 medRxiv
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Background: Treatment decisions for carotid atherosclerotic disease rely primarily on luminal stenosis, although plaque vulnerability and symptomatic status better reflect short-term cerebrovascular risk. A scalable CTA tool for automated phenotyping of symptomatic carotid disease is lacking. Materials & Methods: In this multi-institutional retrospective study, 689 patients (mean age, 67.9 {+/-} 7.7 years; 366 men) from four hospitals were analyzed after screening 705 CTA examinations. 423 patients from one center were used for five-fold development and internal validation, and 266 patients from three centers for independent external validation. CarotidMamba, a deep learning framework combining dual foundation-model encoders with Mamba-based sequence modeling, was developed and benchmarked against clinical, radiomics, clinic-radiomics, CNN, and transformer comparators. Results: In the development cohort, CarotidMamba achieved an AUC of 0.839 (95% CI, 0.799-0.879) and accuracy of 0.825 (95% CI, 0.793-0.857), outperforming the strongest comparator by 0.066 and 0.050, respectively. External validation yielded AUCs of 0.897 (95% CI, 0.835-0.959) in YCH, 0.809 (95% CI, 0.720-0.898) in DCH, and 0.762 (95% CI, 0.649-0.875) in GH-NTC. CarotidMamba showed the lowest Brier score and expected calibration error across cohorts, with calibration slopes near 1.0. Conclusion: CarotidMamba provides an interpretable, clinically oriented, and externally validated CTA framework for phenotyping symptomatic carotid plaques, supporting vulnerability-aware imaging assessment beyond stenosis alone.

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Immunohistochemical phenotype is associated with metastatic site in breast cancer: a retrospective pathomorphological study of women from the Lower Aral Sea region, Uzbekistan

Khodjaniyazov, A. A.; Rojobov, R. R.

2026-06-08 pathology 10.64898/2026.06.05.26354969 medRxiv
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Background: Breast cancer is the most frequently diagnosed cancer and the leading cause of cancer death in women worldwide, and the great majority of these deaths are caused by metastatic disease. Whether the immunohistochemical (IHC) phenotype of breast cancer is associated with the anatomical site of metastasis has been characterized mainly in high-income, registry-based populations, while data from ecologically stressed and medically under-served regions such as the Lower Aral Sea basin are lacking. Methods: We retrospectively reviewed 652 women diagnosed with breast cancer at the Khorezm Branch of the Republican Specialized Scientific-Practical Medical Center of Oncology and Radiology (Uzbekistan) between 2020 and 2024, of whom 213 had metastatic disease (306 metastatic foci). Histological type was assessed on hematoxylin-eosin and van Gieson-stained sections; quantitative morphometry was performed in Fiji/ImageJ; and HER2, estrogen receptor (ER), progesterone receptor (PR) and Ki-67 were assessed by IHC. The association between marker expression and metastatic site (liver, lung, lymph node) was tested in 187 foci with adequate tissue using the chi-square test, with significance at p < 0.05. Results: Invasive ductal carcinoma predominated. Metastatic site was significantly associated with the IHC phenotype. Liver metastases showed the highest frequency of HER2 3+ (45.7%), ER-negativity (65.2%), PR-negativity (69.6%) and high proliferation (Ki-67 [&ge;] 60%; 47.8%), whereas lymph-node metastases were more often hormone-receptor-positive (ER+ 58.7%; PR+ 52.4%) with lower HER2 3+ (22.2%); lung metastases were intermediate (all p < 0.05). The combination of HER2 3+ and Ki-67 [&ge;] 60% was associated with multi-organ spread. Morphometry corroborated these patterns: liver lesions had larger atypical cells (up to 132.8 m), a higher nuclear-to-cytoplasmic ratio (0.76 vs 0.51) and more extensive necrosis and microvascularity than lymph-node lesions. A pragmatic 5-criterion morphological score (histological type, Ki-67, HER2, ER/PR status, atypical-cell size) stratified metastatic risk into three tiers. Conclusions: In this regional cohort, the IHC phenotype of breast cancer tracked the anatomical site of metastasis, with an aggressive HER2-driven, hormone-receptor-negative profile concentrated in liver metastases and a hormone-receptor-positive profile in lymph-node metastases. These findings reproduce established organotropism patterns in a previously uncharacterized population and support phenotype-aware, site-specific surveillance together with a low-cost morphological risk score for resource-limited settings.